The 10 Factors That Affect and Predict Stock Prices

  A company that is able to obtain new major contracts or major government order is expected to see a bull run in its stock price.  Those companies that fail in the contract bidding normally experience the fate of sell-off in its stocks. ·  Share buy-back.   The act of share buy-back by a company will reduce the number of share available in the open market.  Due to the law of supply and demand, a reduction in share available for trading in this case will cause a drop in supply, this will normally help increase the share price.  Also, the continuing buying back of share of a company will also acts as a support for the share price that helps to maintain or increase the share price.  The investors may also see the share buy-back by company as a confidence booster for them in the company itself.  Therefore, share buy-back is quite often used as a tool to deliver value to the investors.  ·  Dividend.   After the announcement of a dividend.  The stock price may increase by an amount close to the dividend per share value.  However, the stock price may drop on the ex-dividend date by the dividend per share amount.  This is because anyone buying a stock on or after the ex-dividend date are not entitled to the corresponding dividend payment.    ·  Stock splits.   Stock split in theory, should not have an impact to the stock price.  However, it is generally observed that the stock price increases (after taking into account the increase in the number of share) after a stock split.  Some attributed to the better affordability of the stock after stock split, some attributed this to the perception of cheap stock due to the lower stock price after the stock split.  Some however believes that stock split has no real impact on the stock price (effective stock price, taking into account the change in number of shares), as the stock price will increase regardless of stock split.  ·  Insider trading.

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